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Red66
542427.9
189622.4
548724.5
Blue79
361836.2
522220.3
598221.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71842040601001201406679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#16
27.90.5
25.825.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End6.3
blue by 8.3
36.20.4
38.538.1
Auto11.0
Teleop21.2
End4.1
Second
5487
#18
24.50.3
22.722.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End3.9
red by 3.0
5982
#35
21.50.5
21.621.1
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End4.1
Third
1896
#28
22.40.4
22.121.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End5.0
red by 2.1
5222
#20
20.30.5
19.619.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsMissed85%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed