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Red76
521625.5
189622.4
602020.0
Blue71
607119.8
70321.1
570321.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70632040801001207671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.6
25.626.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End3.6
red by 4.4
703
#31
21.10.3
21.121.4
Auto2.6
Teleop13.9
End4.6
Second
1896
#28
22.40.7
21.722.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End5.0
red by 1.4
5703
#30
21.00.3
20.821.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End3.5
Third
6020
#24
20.00.8
19.220.0
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End4.4
red by 0.2
6071
#19
19.80.3
20.220.5
Auto1.5
Teleop14.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed