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Red80
516627.1
560323.1
556025.4
Blue97
519320.9
544727.0
550930.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747940601001208097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#33
27.10.5
25.325.8
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End6.8
blue by 3.5
5509
#12
30.61.4
30.331.7
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End8.3
Second
5560
#25
25.40.5
24.925.4
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End3.4
blue by 1.6
5447
#11
27.01.4
25.927.4
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End3.9
Third
5603
#36
23.10.5
22.623.1
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End3.7
red by 2.2
5193
#22
20.91.4
19.621.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed