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Red150
511439.9
619332.2
607119.8
Blue83
566120.8
606729.9
516627.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209340608010014016018015083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.3
40.340.5
Auto10.7
Teleop25.1
End4.1
red by 10.0
29.90.1
29.729.9
Auto9.4
Teleop16.2
End4.2
Second
32.20.3
32.632.9
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End6.1
red by 5.2
5166
#33
27.10.1
26.927.1
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End6.8
Third
6071
#19
19.80.3
20.220.4
Auto1.5
Teleop14.2
End4.1
blue by 1.1
5661
#26
20.80.1
20.720.8
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.3