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Red85
550930.6
521625.5
22628.8
Blue112
566120.8
606729.9
516627.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10292608012014085112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#12
30.60.4
31.731.3
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End8.3
red by 0.7
29.90.4
28.629.0
Auto9.4
Teleop16.2
End4.2
Second
226
#32
28.80.4
29.929.5
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End6.9
red by 1.7
5166
#33
27.10.4
25.826.2
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End6.8
Third
25.50.4
26.626.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End3.6
red by 4.7
5661
#26
20.80.4
19.620.0
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.3