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Red137
362042.8
276737.3
506922.5
Blue131
368840.1
345234.5
240522.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126118050100150200250300137131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.3
42.642.9
Auto9.7
Teleop28.5
End4.7
red by 2.7
40.10.2
40.240.4
Auto8.9
Teleop25.7
End5.5
Second
37.30.3
37.037.4
Auto8.8
Teleop23.2
End5.3
red by 2.8
34.50.2
34.634.8
Auto8.5
Teleop21.2
End4.8
Third
5069
#21
22.50.3
22.322.6
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End3.0
red by 0.3
2405
#39
22.20.2
22.422.5
Auto6.7
Teleop12.1
End3.4