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Red134
362042.8
276737.3
506922.5
Blue103
368840.1
345234.5
240522.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12711950100150200134103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.1
42.942.8
Auto9.7
Teleop28.5
End4.7
red by 2.7
40.10.3
40.440.1
Auto8.9
Teleop25.7
End5.5
Second
37.30.1
37.437.3
Auto8.8
Teleop23.2
End5.3
red by 2.8
34.50.3
34.834.5
Auto8.5
Teleop21.2
End4.8
Third
5069
#21
22.50.1
22.622.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End3.0
red by 0.3
2405
#39
22.20.3
22.522.2
Auto6.7
Teleop12.1
End3.4