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Red70
362042.8
354633.9
506922.5
Blue43
525623.4
194016.7
485520.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714302060801001207043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.6
24.725.3
Auto9.7
Teleop28.5
End4.7
red by 19.4
5256
#11
23.40.3
17.317.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.0
End4.7
Second
33.90.6
22.423.0
Auto8.7
Teleop19.2
End5.9
red by 13.0
4855
#26
20.90.3
14.614.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Third
5069
#21
22.50.6
17.818.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End3.0
red by 5.8
1940
#40
16.70.3
13.913.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed