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Red57
21621.0
14127.8
612216.1
Blue59
423726.2
495630.0
387529.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54622040805759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#25
27.80.8
24.123.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.9
End4.1
blue by 2.2
4956
#17
30.00.0
21.821.8
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End5.4
Second
216
#30
21.00.8
16.716.0
Auto8.3
Teleop9.2
End3.5
blue by 8.2
3875
#10
29.20.0
19.019.0
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End5.3
Third
6122
#34
16.10.8
13.012.2
Auto1.2
Teleop13.2
End1.8
blue by 10.1
4237
#20
26.20.0
18.418.4
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed