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Red98
354727.4
47022.7
194016.7
Blue56
440919.6
423726.2
90427.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5267204060801009856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3547
#35
27.42.3
22.324.6
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End4.1
red by 0.2
904
#16
27.20.7
24.523.8
Auto9.7
Teleop12.2
End5.3
Second
470
#28
22.72.3
17.319.6
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End3.7
blue by 3.5
4237
#20
26.20.7
21.320.5
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Third
1940
#40
16.72.3
13.015.3
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End3.5
blue by 2.9
4409
#33
19.60.7
16.916.2
Auto0.3
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed