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Red70
547315.8
525623.4
400425.4
Blue84
562218.6
432528.9
561023.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5269204060801007084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#38
25.40.7
22.022.7
Auto1.6
Teleop18.7
End5.2
blue by 3.5
4325
#12
28.91.0
26.627.6
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End4.5
Second
5256
#11
23.40.8
19.119.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.0
End4.7
red by 0.3
5610
#15
23.11.0
21.322.3
Auto2.5
Teleop17.1
End3.5
Third
5473
#36
15.80.7
12.112.8
Auto2.3
Teleop10.5
End3.0
blue by 2.8
5622
#19
18.61.0
16.417.4
Auto7.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsMissed62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed