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Red85
24421.6
387529.2
354727.4
Blue75
47022.7
496732.3
506922.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7170506080901008575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#10
29.20.7
25.426.0
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End5.3
blue by 3.1
32.30.6
30.030.6
Auto9.6
Teleop19.1
End3.5
Second
3547
#35
27.40.7
24.625.3
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End4.1
red by 4.8
470
#28
22.70.6
19.620.2
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End3.7
Third
244
#31
21.60.7
18.719.4
Auto7.5
Teleop10.7
End3.4
blue by 1.0
5069
#21
22.50.6
19.720.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed