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Red60
52559.9
21621.0
368840.1
Blue85
354633.9
440919.6
612216.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706140801006085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.7
36.836.1
Auto8.9
Teleop25.7
End5.5
red by 6.2
33.92.0
30.932.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.2
End5.9
Second
216
#30
21.00.7
19.218.5
Auto8.3
Teleop9.2
End3.5
red by 1.4
4409
#33
19.62.0
16.218.1
Auto0.3
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Third
5255
#41
9.90.7
10.810.1
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 6.2
6122
#34
16.12.1
14.016.1
Auto1.2
Teleop13.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed