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Red119
362042.8
90427.2
295926.6
Blue75
387529.2
368840.1
609418.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89796010012014011975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.81.3
39.941.3
Auto9.7
Teleop28.5
End4.7
red by 2.7
40.10.3
36.135.8
Auto8.9
Teleop25.7
End5.5
Second
904
#16
27.21.3
23.825.1
Auto9.7
Teleop12.2
End5.3
blue by 1.9
3875
#10
29.20.3
26.025.7
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End5.3
Third
2959
#13
26.61.3
21.522.8
Auto6.5
Teleop16.4
End3.7
red by 8.3
6094
#29
18.20.3
16.015.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed