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Red95
28826.0
345234.5
240522.2
Blue101
525623.4
6625.6
423726.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716940608010012095101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.6
29.831.4
Auto8.5
Teleop21.2
End4.8
red by 8.3
4237
#20
26.20.4
22.823.2
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Second
288
#18
26.01.6
22.824.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End5.3
red by 0.4
66
#24
25.60.4
24.424.8
Auto3.4
Teleop17.0
End5.2
Third
2405
#39
22.21.6
16.317.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.1
End3.4
blue by 1.2
5256
#11
23.40.4
19.920.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed