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Red102
609724.9
14127.8
495630.0
Blue83
400425.4
354727.4
506922.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7068405060809010010283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#17
30.03.1
25.528.6
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End5.4
red by 2.6
3547
#35
27.41.6
24.225.7
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End4.1
Second
141
#25
27.83.3
22.125.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.9
End4.1
red by 2.4
4004
#38
25.41.6
22.724.3
Auto1.6
Teleop18.7
End5.2
Third
24.93.3
19.823.1
Auto8.8
Teleop12.3
End3.8
red by 2.4
5069
#21
22.51.5
19.721.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed