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Red75
505626.7
517318.1
247427.6
Blue64
553518.7
354633.9
608717.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68700204060801001201407564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.8
25.426.2
Auto7.9
Teleop16.4
End3.3
blue by 6.3
33.90.4
33.833.5
Auto8.7
Teleop19.2
End5.9
Second
5056
#14
26.70.6
24.324.9
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End4.0
red by 8.0
5535
#22
18.70.4
17.917.5
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Third
5173
#37
18.10.8
16.417.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.1
End1.8
red by 0.8
6087
#23
17.30.4
16.315.9
Auto2.0
Teleop13.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed