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Red96
148124.2
366831.8
24715.0
Blue124
9419.4
516729.8
365819.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92722040608010012014096124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.1
31.331.2
Auto8.3
Teleop18.1
End5.5
red by 2.1
5167
#12
29.80.4
27.928.2
Auto8.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
Second
1481
#10
24.20.1
23.723.6
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End2.8
red by 4.5
3658
#25
19.60.4
17.718.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Third
247
#16
15.00.1
14.514.4
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.4
blue by 4.4
94
#20
19.40.4
17.317.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End3.9