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Red117
148124.2
366831.8
24715.0
Blue102
9419.4
516729.8
365819.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917320406080100120140160117102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.4
31.231.6
Auto8.3
Teleop18.1
End5.5
red by 2.1
5167
#12
29.80.4
28.228.6
Auto8.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
Second
1481
#10
24.20.4
23.624.0
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End2.8
red by 4.5
3658
#25
19.60.4
18.118.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Third
247
#16
15.00.4
14.414.8
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.4
blue by 4.4
94
#20
19.40.4
17.718.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End3.9