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Red76
516729.8
12326.3
475812.4
Blue84
204814.8
54832.0
363211.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65530204060801007684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5167
#12
29.81.1
26.827.9
Auto8.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
blue by 2.3
548
#5
32.01.9
31.133.0
Auto7.0
Teleop20.3
End4.7
Second
123
#8
26.31.2
23.224.4
Auto8.6
Teleop12.8
End4.9
red by 11.5
2048
#36
14.81.9
12.914.8
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Third
4758
#39
12.41.1
11.312.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 1.3
3632
#27
11.11.9
9.211.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop8.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed