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Red60
590116.6
353829.3
332218.8
Blue102
170128.1
584325.1
296027.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6780406010012014060102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.6
29.228.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End5.8
red by 1.2
1701
#19
28.11.3
25.727.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End3.9
Second
3322
#21
18.80.6
19.819.3
Auto2.7
Teleop14.3
End1.9
blue by 8.5
2960
#11
27.41.2
27.228.4
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End2.3
Third
5901
#28
16.60.6
18.417.8
Auto8.1
Teleop7.3
End1.2
blue by 8.5
25.11.2
23.324.4
Auto8.5
Teleop12.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed