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Red97
609825.7
544827.7
86222.1
Blue97
571223.9
612123.9
261925.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78962040601201401609797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.2
25.425.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End4.2
red by 2.1
2619
#15
25.60.1
25.425.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Second
6098
#32
25.70.2
23.023.3
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 1.8
23.90.1
23.723.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End4.7
Third
862
#38
22.10.2
19.719.9
Auto7.1
Teleop10.4
End4.5
blue by 1.8
5712
#10
23.90.1
23.723.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.9