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Red110
609825.7
544827.7
86222.1
Blue106
571223.9
612123.9
261925.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7996204060120140160110106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.5
25.526.0
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End4.2
red by 2.1
2619
#15
25.60.2
25.525.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Second
6098
#32
25.70.5
23.323.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 1.8
23.90.2
23.824.0
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End4.7
Third
862
#38
22.10.5
19.920.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.4
End4.5
blue by 1.8
5712
#10
23.90.2
23.823.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.9