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Red44
554719.2
612123.9
517518.2
Blue40
524716.1
515621.8
544827.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48520204060801001204440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.9
13.212.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End4.7
blue by 3.8
27.71.7
19.417.7
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Second
5547
#22
19.20.9
15.814.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End5.0
blue by 2.6
5156
#28
21.81.7
16.014.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End3.2
Third
5175
#12
18.20.9
17.917.1
Auto2.1
Teleop12.0
End4.0
red by 2.1
5247
#26
16.11.7
14.713.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed