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Red83
439819.9
544720.9
150225.5
Blue50
609825.7
86222.1
607413.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56512040801008350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#19
25.51.6
19.521.1
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End4.0
blue by 0.2
6098
#32
25.70.0
15.215.2
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Second
5447
#17
20.91.6
14.816.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
blue by 1.1
862
#38
22.10.0
23.523.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.4
End4.5
Third
4398
#18
19.91.6
19.220.8
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End3.3
red by 6.6
6074
#34
13.30.0
11.611.5
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed