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Red54
554719.2
357025.6
60719.0
Blue73
86222.1
522922.3
522423.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50592040801005473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3570
#20
25.60.1
20.620.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.3
End4.6
red by 2.5
5224
#11
23.01.9
17.519.4
Auto1.9
Teleop17.5
End3.6
Second
5547
#22
19.20.1
13.713.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End5.0
blue by 3.2
5229
#14
22.31.9
16.118.0
Auto9.7
Teleop9.3
End3.4
Third
6071
#40
9.00.1
15.215.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.8
End2.2
blue by 13.1
862
#38
22.11.9
22.224.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed