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Red66
566117.5
437730.4
498317.6
Blue104
191840.4
150225.5
360233.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4598020608012014016066104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.41.6
25.427.0
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End5.8
blue by 10.0
40.40.2
35.535.7
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End5.4
Second
4983
#30
17.61.6
13.415.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End4.2
blue by 15.6
33.20.2
28.929.0
Auto7.1
Teleop20.7
End5.4
Third
5661
#23
17.51.6
12.814.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End3.5
blue by 8.0
1502
#19
25.50.2
23.123.3
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed