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Red50
515621.8
361831.6
571223.9
Blue44
522617.3
544720.9
531610.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6546204060801005044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.1
25.824.7
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End7.1
red by 10.6
5447
#17
20.90.4
16.716.3
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
Second
5712
#10
23.91.1
21.220.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.9
red by 6.5
5226
#33
17.30.4
13.613.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Third
5156
#28
21.81.1
13.212.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End3.2
red by 11.2
5316
#31
10.60.4
17.417.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsMissed57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed