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Red49
609825.7
439819.9
554719.2
Blue80
437730.4
552521.8
361831.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50782040601001204980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6098
#32
25.71.6
17.515.9
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End4.4
blue by 5.9
31.60.4
24.725.0
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End7.1
Second
4398
#18
19.91.6
22.020.4
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End3.3
blue by 10.5
30.40.4
27.027.4
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Third
5547
#22
19.21.6
13.712.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End5.0
blue by 2.6
5525
#27
21.80.4
19.920.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsMissed79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed