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Red44
544720.9
10729.1
353715.4
Blue55
612123.9
566117.5
522922.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63492040801004455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#6
29.11.7
29.828.2
Auto8.1
Teleop16.6
End4.3
red by 5.2
23.90.6
17.217.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End4.7
Second
5447
#17
20.91.7
16.314.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
blue by 1.4
5229
#14
22.30.6
18.018.6
Auto9.7
Teleop9.3
End3.4
Third
3537
#37
15.41.7
13.011.3
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End4.7
blue by 2.1
5661
#23
17.50.6
14.415.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed