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Red90
46928.5
91030.6
24021.1
Blue120
57330.5
285132.4
610822.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710805015020090120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#5
30.60.2
30.830.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.6
End3.3
blue by 1.8
32.40.2
31.932.2
Auto8.4
Teleop19.4
End4.7
Second
469
#18
28.50.2
28.728.4
Auto10.3
Teleop14.2
End4.0
blue by 2.1
573
#9
30.50.2
30.030.3
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End5.0
Third
240
#17
21.10.2
21.221.0
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.7
blue by 1.4
6108
#21
22.40.2
21.922.1
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.3