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Red153
353937.8
233736.6
601319.3
Blue99
22630.4
481024.9
605720.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1168505010015020015399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.2
37.437.6
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End4.2
red by 7.4
226
#12
30.40.0
30.330.3
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End5.9
Second
36.60.2
36.136.4
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.5
red by 11.7
4810
#10
24.90.0
24.824.7
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End4.5
Third
6013
#24
19.30.2
18.919.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.3
blue by 1.3
6057
#19
20.60.0
20.520.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.9
End1.9