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Red120
353937.8
233736.6
601319.3
Blue125
339823.5
566223.9
561918.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11673050100150200120125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.0
36.736.7
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End4.2
red by 13.9
5662
#11
23.90.4
23.223.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End3.1
Second
36.60.0
35.535.5
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.5
red by 13.1
3398
#31
23.50.4
22.823.2
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Third
6013
#24
19.30.0
18.218.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.3
red by 1.1
5619
#27
18.30.4
17.517.9
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End4.2