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Red148
353937.8
233736.6
601319.3
Blue102
339823.5
566223.9
561918.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11675050100150200148102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.3
36.737.0
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End4.2
red by 13.9
5662
#11
23.90.4
23.624.0
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End3.1
Second
36.60.3
35.535.8
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.5
red by 13.1
3398
#31
23.50.4
23.223.5
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Third
6013
#24
19.30.3
18.218.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.3
red by 1.1
5619
#27
18.30.4
17.918.3
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End4.2