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Red70
564223.6
611730.9
613614.1
Blue67
24021.1
523913.6
285132.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685802040801001201401607067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.0
25.525.5
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End5.9
blue by 1.5
32.40.6
30.431.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.4
End4.7
Second
5642
#22
23.60.0
20.020.1
Auto9.0
Teleop9.0
End5.6
red by 2.6
240
#17
21.10.6
15.716.4
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Third
6136
#39
14.10.1
18.818.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.3
End3.0
red by 0.5
5239
#30
13.60.6
11.312.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsMissed56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed