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Red56
481514.1
609916.9
612025.4
Blue42
496122.3
565016.8
605720.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58613040507080905642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6120
#14
25.40.4
22.622.2
Auto2.7
Teleop17.3
End5.5
red by 3.1
4961
#13
22.31.5
21.119.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End5.8
Second
6099
#29
16.90.4
14.914.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.5
blue by 3.7
6057
#19
20.62.4
20.418.0
Auto7.9
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Third
4815
#38
14.10.4
19.118.7
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0
blue by 2.7
5650
#36
16.81.5
17.516.0
Auto1.1
Teleop11.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed