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Red64
564223.6
481514.1
496122.3
Blue97
605720.6
21747.0
561918.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618220401001201406497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5642
#22
23.60.1
22.222.3
Auto9.0
Teleop9.0
End5.6
blue by 23.4
217
#4
47.01.4
42.243.5
Auto9.2
Teleop29.6
End8.3
Second
4961
#13
22.30.1
22.622.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End5.8
red by 1.7
6057
#19
20.62.3
18.720.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Third
4815
#38
14.10.1
17.717.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0
blue by 4.1
5619
#27
18.31.4
15.717.0
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed