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Red105
553211.8
233736.6
481024.9
Blue80
611730.9
46928.5
610822.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6483204010012010580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.6
33.735.3
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.5
red by 5.7
30.90.2
26.826.6
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End5.9
Second
4810
#10
24.91.6
23.324.9
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End4.5
blue by 3.6
469
#18
28.50.2
29.929.7
Auto10.3
Teleop14.2
End4.0
Third
5532
#28
11.81.6
8.410.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End-0.3
blue by 10.6
6108
#21
22.40.2
21.321.1
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed