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Red50
86226.3
309612.2
152813.5
Blue77
555517.3
57330.5
612025.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51762040601001201405077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#20
26.30.2
25.725.5
Auto8.5
Teleop13.5
End4.3
blue by 4.3
573
#9
30.50.1
28.628.7
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End5.0
Second
1528
#25
13.50.3
15.615.3
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End-0.5
blue by 11.9
6120
#14
25.40.1
26.026.2
Auto2.7
Teleop17.3
End5.5
Third
3096
#35
12.20.2
11.611.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.7
End1.9
blue by 5.1
5555
#32
17.30.1
15.415.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed