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Red65
353937.8
259112.5
553211.8
Blue75
566223.9
506816.6
613614.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615540801006575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.5
33.934.4
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End4.2
red by 13.9
5662
#11
23.90.4
22.222.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End3.1
Second
2591
#33
12.50.5
13.914.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End0.9
blue by 4.2
5068
#26
16.60.4
15.115.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.7
Third
5532
#28
11.80.5
10.310.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End-0.3
blue by 2.3
6136
#39
14.10.5
16.817.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed