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Red110
171842.0
610822.4
523913.6
Blue70
91030.6
602915.5
609916.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715920408010012011070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.02.5
36.238.7
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End5.6
red by 11.4
910
#5
30.60.7
29.730.4
Auto9.7
Teleop17.6
End3.3
Second
6108
#21
22.42.5
20.723.2
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.3
red by 5.5
6099
#29
16.90.7
14.715.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.5
Third
5239
#30
13.62.5
10.412.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 1.9
6029
#34
15.50.9
15.015.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed