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Red70
611730.9
555517.3
32218.8
Blue56
601319.3
564223.6
565016.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63612040801007056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.6
28.028.6
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End5.9
red by 7.3
5642
#22
23.60.2
22.622.4
Auto9.0
Teleop9.0
End5.6
Second
322
#15
18.80.6
17.317.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.3
End1.8
blue by 0.6
6013
#24
19.30.3
19.919.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.3
Third
5555
#32
17.30.6
15.516.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End3.4
red by 0.5
5650
#36
16.80.2
17.016.8
Auto1.1
Teleop11.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed