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Red100
506514.9
481117.9
21747.0
Blue97
561918.3
285132.4
233736.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7587406010012014010097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#4
47.01.4
45.046.4
Auto9.2
Teleop29.6
End8.3
red by 10.4
36.60.6
36.437.0
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.5
Second
4811
#16
17.91.4
17.819.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End2.7
blue by 14.5
32.40.6
30.130.7
Auto8.4
Teleop19.4
End4.7
Third
5065
#37
14.91.8
11.813.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 3.4
5619
#27
18.30.6
16.417.1
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed