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Red36
339823.5
481117.9
613614.1
Blue49
601319.3
605720.6
481024.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61672040801001203649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3398
#31
23.51.6
23.521.9
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End2.6
blue by 1.4
4810
#10
24.91.3
24.322.9
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End4.5
Second
4811
#16
17.91.6
19.217.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End2.7
blue by 2.7
6057
#19
20.61.6
20.018.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Third
6136
#39
14.12.0
17.315.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.3
End3.0
blue by 5.2
6013
#24
19.31.6
19.618.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed