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Red62
86226.3
609916.9
553211.8
Blue125
500817.7
611730.9
21747.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44100020608012014016062125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#20
26.30.8
24.525.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.5
End4.3
blue by 20.7
217
#4
47.02.4
46.448.8
Auto9.2
Teleop29.6
End8.3
Second
6099
#29
16.90.8
15.416.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.5
blue by 14.0
30.92.4
28.631.0
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End5.9
Third
5532
#28
11.80.8
10.811.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End-0.3
blue by 5.9
5008
#23
17.73.0
13.716.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsEarned