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Quarterfinal 1-22016 FIM District - Traverse City Event
Red123
550541.7
498830.9
189625.4
Blue114
507227.2
612128.3
552525.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12596406080140160180123114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#12
41.70.0
41.4→41.4
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
red by 13.4
6121
#10
28.30.3
28.0→28.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.9
End5.1
Second
4988
#1
30.90.0
30.7→30.7
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End5.5
red by 3.8
5072
#14
27.20.3
26.9→27.2
Auto11.1
Teleop11.6
End4.6
Third
1896
#16
25.40.0
25.2→25.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.2
End5.9
red by 0.3
5525
#15
25.10.3
24.8→25.1
Auto9.9
Teleop10.6
End4.6