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Red123
550541.7
498830.9
189625.4
Blue102
376731.2
587830.9
388626.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221106080100140160180200123102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#12
41.70.0
41.441.4
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
red by 10.4
3767
#18
31.20.2
31.931.7
Auto5.3
Teleop21.4
End4.5
Second
30.90.0
30.730.7
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End5.5
Level
30.90.2
31.130.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End6.3
Third
1896
#16
25.40.0
25.225.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.2
End5.9
blue by 0.7
3886
#27
26.20.2
26.826.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.0
End4.3