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Red126
7439.1
368845.6
612823.3
Blue120
9424.8
609729.9
525720.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1408250100150200126120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.0
45.245.2
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End5.5
red by 15.7
29.90.5
29.429.9
Auto11.6
Teleop13.4
End4.9
Second
74
#3
39.10.0
38.738.7
Auto11.7
Teleop15.9
End11.5
red by 14.3
94
#28
24.80.5
24.324.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End4.2
Third
6128
#30
23.30.0
22.922.9
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End4.1
red by 3.2
5257
#23
20.10.5
19.620.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End2.0