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Red91
523037.9
607529.7
171123.4
Blue128
341430.7
508630.0
560328.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118107608010014016018091128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.5
38.838.3
Auto8.7
Teleop25.2
End4.0
red by 7.2
3414
#19
30.70.3
30.030.4
Auto13.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
Second
29.70.5
30.630.1
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End7.0
blue by 0.3
30.00.4
29.429.7
Auto9.2
Teleop16.7
End4.2
Third
1711
#22
23.40.5
24.323.8
Auto10.0
Teleop11.0
End2.5
blue by 5.1
5603
#17
28.50.3
27.828.2
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End4.4