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Red102
511025.8
550541.7
224621.9
Blue102
570921.7
7439.1
571416.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7567050100150200250300102102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#12
41.7
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
red by 2.6
74
#3
39.1
Auto11.7
Teleop15.9
End11.5
Second
5110
#32
25.8
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End4.9
red by 4.1
5709
#29
21.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Third
2246
#20
21.9
Auto9.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
red by 5.1
5714
#31
16.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed